FORECASTING AND DEVELOPING SCENARIOS OF EMERGENCIES IN A GAS BOILER PLANT: A CASE STUDY OF THE ENTERPRISE IN PENZA

DOI

10.24411/1728-323X-2019-12065

Section

Geoecology

Title

FORECASTING AND DEVELOPING SCENARIOS OF EMERGENCIES IN A GAS BOILER PLANT: A CASE STUDY OF THE ENTERPRISE IN PENZA

Сontributors
  1. V. A. Shchepetova, Ph. D. (Engineering), Associate Professor, FGBOU VO Penza State University of Architecture and Construction, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,
  2. A. Ye. Balyukov, Master of FGBOU VO Penza State University of Architecture and Construction, This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.,
  3. Penza, Russia
Abstract

The article gives a brief description of the enterprise “JSC” PPO EVT named after V. A. Revunov. The goal of the research is to try to analyze the possible causes of emergency situations in the enterprise, as well as to consider possible scenarios of consequences. The brief description of the gas boiler house of the company under study is given. The possible causes of emergency situations are considered. Since the probability of an emergency due to the natural disaster is not high. We paid special attention to man-made impacts on the object understudy. An attempt was made to develop possible scenarios for the occurrence and development of emergency situations at the gas boiler house of the enterprise, as well as possible negative consequences for personnel and the environment. The flowchart has been developed to analyze the likely scenarios for the occurrence and development of accidents and the “Event Tree” for the development of accident scenarios on the gas consumption network of JSC PPO EVT named after V. A. Revunov.

Keywords

risk, emergency, gas boiler house, enterprise, forecast.

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